The race for Ted Cruz's Texas Senate seat is getting increasingly contentious, despite the state's deep-red political demographics, as indicated by an update from a top election forecaster.
The Cook Political Report's forecast for the Texas senate race changed from "likely Republican," to "lean Republican," as of Tuesday afternoon.
Incumbent Senator Ted Cruz (R) has occupied his Senate seat since 2013, but Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas) is proving himself a formidable opponent in polling as the Nov. 5 election draws near.
CPR editor Jessica Taylor credited Allred's progress with a focus on fundraising and ad spending in her analysis of the shift.
The financial health of Allred's campaign is bolstered by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) endeavor to flip Texas and Florida in the party's favor.
Meanwhile, Cruz has been tasked with overcoming criticism of his 2021 trip to Cancun during a severe winter storm in Texas, as well as polarity in the state around the issue abortion, Taylor posits.
Still, 26 years have passed since a Democrat was elected to the U.S. Senate in Texas, though Rep. Beta O'Rourke (D-Texas) came close in 2018 when he lost to Cruz by 2.6 points.
According to the most recent The Hill/Decision Desk HQ average, Cruz leads Allred by "just less" than 3 points with five weeks left until election day.
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