Kari Lake's Chances of Winning Arizona's Senate Seat According to the Last Poll Before The Election

Trump ally Kari Lake has seemingly narrowed the gap enjoyed by her Democratic opponent Ruben Gallego as the Arizona Senate race draws to a close, according to the last polls before Election Day.

The latest survey, conducted by Patriot Polling between November 1 and 3 among 801 registered voters, shows the Republican trailing Gallego by three percentage points, getting 48% of the support to the Democrat's 51%.

It is another study that shows a comparatively small gap for Gallego after leading by as much as two digits in late October. Another survey by Insider Advantage among 800 likely voters and conducted between November 1 and 2 features the same margin, while one by AtlasIntel among 967 likely voters in the same time period even shows the Republican ahead by two percentage points, getting 49% of the support compared to Gallego's 47%.The same pollster even published a study showing Lake ahead by one percentage point (49% to 48%) at the end of October.

It is a large departure from most polls throughout the race, which showed Gallego comfortably ahead. In fact, another one by RABA Research among 589 registered voters shows Gallego with a 15-point lead, getting 49% of the support compared to Lake's 34%.

Previous ones from the second and third week of October also show the Democrat ahead by margins ranging between four and 15 percentage points.

Lake and Gallego have been trading barbs during the home stretch of the campaign, going into topics both political and personal. The latest episode took place earlier this month when Gallego demanded an apology from his opponent for playing a role in the unsealing of his divorce records.

Lake had pressed for the unsealing of the records, telling KTAR-FM that she hoped "e everybody who says they're going to vote for him will hold off until we get the details about why he ran off on his wife when she was nine-months pregnant."

The records, from 2016, show that Democrat Ruben Gallego filed for divorce from Kate Gallego ahead of the birth of their son, stating that their marriage was "irretrievably broken," a commonplace legal term in Arizona. They largely determine how the two intended to co-parent their son.

Both candidates also faced off in a debate earlier this month, exchanging accusations and highlighting their differing positions.

Gallego closed his campaign with a "carne asada" event. Speaking to the crowd, Gallego urged his voters to "not fear, fight." "Every time I've ever had some rough times in my life, the one thing that kept me moving was fight. I didn't know what the end result was going to be, but I knew I had to fight. So tomorrow when you feel a little anxious, or Tuesday, when something comes and you're feeling more anxious, don't fear, fight. Because when we fight, we win," he said.

In a subsequent interview with MSNBC, Gallego anticipated that Lake will challenge the results and said that "what matters is that "most Arizonans... want to move beyond election denialism. They want someone that's going to be fighting for them, not someone who's going to just create more division."

Lake, on her end, posted a video on her social media channels saying the race is about "uniting America & saving what makes us so unique."

"It's that constitution that I believe God had a hand in helping write, alongside our Founding Fathers, who risked it all to push back against the original globalists, the monarchy, & King George. We are up against a globalist machine. And if we don't get out & vote & take part in this election, we will lose this great country forever."