Jeb Bush Exactly As Unpopular Among Latinos As Mitt Romney, According To Univision

From all appearances, Jeb Bush has the best chance among Republican primary contenders to win the Latino vote in 2016. He supports legal status for undocumented immigrants. He speaks fluid if not fluent Spanish. He's married to a Mexican woman with whom he's raised three bicultural and bilingual Latino children. In Florida, a heavily Latino state, Bush won two terms as governor. He's clearly rejected the anti-immigrant comments of Donald Trump . He's done more than any other candidate to appeal to Latinos, which is why he might be surprised to read the latest Univision poll saying that he won't win their vote any more than anti-immigrant white-guy candidate Mitt Romney did in 2012.

According to the poll, Jeb Bush would receive 27 percent of the Latino vote (the poll has a margin of +/- 2.62 percent) in a matchup against Hillary Clinton . Margins aside, that is an uncanny number: Mitt Romney won only 27 percent of the Latino vote in 2012, according to a post-election analysis by Pew . Admittedly, it's hard to compare those numbers, taken in different years and with different methodologies. The Pew numbers come from exit polls, and were taken in some different states. However, both polls had large sample sizes, focused in battleground states where the votes matter the most and samples people who have or strongly intend on voting. It's also a very long time between now and November 2016, giving candidates plenty of opportunities to move the needle among Latino voters.

However, 27 percent is not a good place to start. In 2016, Republicans will need at least 40 percent of the Latino vote to win, according to a campaign adviser for Florida Senator Marco Rubio, another Republican presidential candidate. Rubio, who is Cuban-American but no longer supports legal status for undocumented immigrants. In the Univision poll, Rubio received only 25 percent of support from Latino voters in a hypothetical matchup with Clinton. You can read the full results of the poll here .

Other takeaways from the Univision poll might have been less surprising. Respondents overwhelmingly disapproved of Donald Trump's comments about Mexicans and wouldn't vote for him . Also, Latino voters appear to have opinion about Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders , a Democratic presidential candidate surging in some polls.