Democratic Arizona Representative Ruben Gallego again expanded his lead over Republican opponent Kari Lake ahead of the state's Senate elections, according to the most recent poll.
The study, conducted by Emerson College and The Hill in mid-September among 868 likely voters, shows the Democrat ahead by six percentage points, getting 48% of the support compared to Lake's 42%.
The result shows a wider margin than the previous survey, which was funded by the GOP and showed Gallego ahead but by four percentage points. The Democrat's lead has oscillated over September, the smallest margin being four percentage points and the largest one eight.
Lake, however, has rejected surveys showing her trailing her opponent, recently telling NewsNation that she is actually ahead in her "internal polling."
As the race continues, Gallego has gotten significant backing as he seeks to maintain the lead. Concretely, the PAC affiliated with the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, CHC BOLD PAC, is investing $1.1 million in ads targeting Latinas across the state. Titled "Las Jefas" (The bosses). It is the biggest spend in the group's history, according to NBC News.
"Raised by a single, working mother, Gallego knows who is boss in Arizona. Grandmothers, mothers, sisters. The bosses. And in the Senate he will fight for them," says a narrator in the ad.
As for the presidential elections, the two candidates seem to be a virtual tie, with the former President holding a small and almost nonexistent lead, a new survey showed. The poll was conducted by Data Orbital among over 500 likely voters in the Grand Canyon State between Sept. 7-9. It holds a margin of error of plus or minus 4.26%.
The study found the GOP nominee to hold a narrow edge of 0.2% on the Vice President, standing at 46.2% to her 46%. Remarkably, 7.7% of Arizona voters remain undecided or refused to answer and are theoretically up for grabs in the highly competitive state, AZ Free News reports.
"That 7.7% undecided number, I would say, is going to be one of two things: 1) either individuals that are saying that they are likely to vote but don't end up voting or 2) people that are truly undecided. But I would be shocked if the true undecided number is in the high single digits," George Khalaf, President of Data Orbital, said.
"I would guess that right now, the true percentage of people that are undecided is maybe one or two percent, if that. This is a high-profile race and so most people have made up their minds. But I think a portion of people that are undecided likely will not end up making a decision on November 5," he continued. "And even if they come out and vote, they may just not vote in the presidential election or will write in somebody random."
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